Re: (555) Time to fold a +$EV spot again (?)
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i don't quite understand maybe some of what people are saying here:
if we push now and he calls, either we win or we lose.
if we win, we won like 2100 chips, and are in the money with by far the big stack.
if we lose, we lose 1850ish chips, and are still the chip leader.
-assuming utg folds the next hand (possibly not a great assumption, but i'm going with it for right now), we can push pretty wide on the button, getting back 750 chips, and push pretty wide the hand after, getting another 750. if we don't have our blinds folded to, we're still up 750 on the orbit very likely, and then are on the button again where we can keep piling on the big stack pressure pushing any time we're first in. in all, i don't think that the bb guy is going to call and win enough, nor the loss for getting called and losing big enough, to make me scared of pushing everything here.
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UTG calling range will be significantly wider if he's clearly in last.
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