View Single Post
  #8  
Old 11-09-2007, 03:51 PM
guinnessz guinnessz is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1
Default Re: 25NL: I flop middle set and 2 ppl shove before it\'s my turn.

I don't think this is a fist pumping dance situation by any means. With two open shoves, you are likely facing an overpair and a flush/straight draw. Flush draw = 9 outs, straight = 6 more, overpair = 3 more, for 18 total outs that beat you with 2 cards to come.

If my range predictions are correct, you are only slightly better than a 2-1 DOG to win the pot. So, while calling (and praying you aren't up against JJ) is probably the correct move, don't get too excited because you don't expect to make too much $ in the long run.

Of course, you could be playing against total donks who are open shoving with AJ or 2 pair. I usually play 1-2NL, and I wouldn't expect to see play that poor there, but at the .10-.25 level plays like that might be more common.

-guinnessz
Reply With Quote