Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
First of all, in spots like this, I lean toward a flop check in position. I'm not looking to balloon the pot because if I head to the turn and check, the river is going to suuuuck. I don't want this to be a three street afair - cut it down to two. Boards with paired aces, it's like, if you lead when you have one, you get paid here; if you lead when you don't have one, you find yourself in trouble.
The river is a call. I don't know what my stack needs to be to let this go, but at 17K and with his big stack and a missed flush draw and your check on the turn, this is a perfect opportunity for him to lead OOP and pick up the pot. In fact, I can't see a reasonable competing justification for a fold here.
Barry
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