View Single Post
  #3  
Old 11-09-2007, 11:50 AM
AlexB182 AlexB182 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 1,235
Default Re: [NL 10] AA on paired flush-board

Value bet would basically mean putting UTG AI cause he has only like 5 bucks left at this point. What scares me a bit is villains flop raise which could easily be a set but does not necessarily has to be one, he could also do this with an overpair, maybe a pair of sevens giving him an gut shot draw along with an overpair. I can't see a made straight here.
If he had a flush draw on the flop and made it on the turn, he would have either raised the turn or donked the river I guess. If he had a set and now boated up I think he would've also donked the river as this card would look scary to you if you made a flush instead on the turn and he would've been afraid to lose value here. So the only hands that make sense to me here would be AhQx, KhQx or KhKx, maybe something like QxTh or QxJh as well as the already mentionend 77 stuff.
What I want to say is that I don't see a hand that he could play this way that has you beat, so I think I'd go for a value bet here.
Reply With Quote