Re: A-Rod opts out of contract
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From Will Carroll's blog on BP:
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Get your tinfoil hats out and don’t blame the messenger here, but a lot of people are starting to espouse some conspiracy theories when it comes to Alex Rodriguez and baseball. If you haven’t noticed, there’s a lot of 3B on the market suddenly. Miguel Cabrera is being shopped, Scott Rolen is making news about his no-trade clause, Mike Lowell wasn’t re-signed by the Red Sox despite many thinking it would happen in concert with the Curt Schilling signing, and Adrian Beltre is being mentioned as an available commodity. Is someone trying to inflate the supply and hold Rodriguez’s value down? If baseball can’t agree on instant replay, what makes you think they could pull off a grand conspiracy?
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Doesn't it make sense that when Boras says that a 32 year old third baseman with below average defensive skills who hits like a good first baseman is worth $300M, that every other team with a expendable third baseman might think, "Ka-Ching!"?
Alex Rodriguez - Age 32 - Career OPS+ 147
Miquel Cabrera - Age 24 - Career OPS+ 143
OPS+ 2006, 2007
A-Rod 137, 177
Cabrera 159, 150
Range Factor (RF9) 2007
A-Rod 2.42
Cabrera 2.51
Do you blame the Marlins for thinking it's time to cash in their Cabrera chip? If you thought Cabrera can stay at third, who in their right mind would take A-Rod over Cabrera for the next five years, let alone ten?
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