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Old 11-07-2007, 06:12 PM
Antinome Antinome is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,640
Default Re: 25NL: Mathematical Call?

?

13 outs twice is roughly 13x4 (using the rule of 2 and 4) or 52% is like 1.1:1 , 50% is 1:1.

You're getting 50:20 -> 5:2 - > 2.5:1 so you need 1/(1+2.5) -> .29 -> 29%

Obviously if you find yourself in this situation you're calling. Only an idiot would fold this at any level, since even against a worst case set and another flush draw face up we have the required odds to call.

Board: Ad 4d 3c

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.682% 28.68% 00.00% 259 0.00 { Kd5d }
Hand 1: 62.348% 62.35% 00.00% 563 0.00 { AhAs }
Hand 2: 08.970% 08.97% 00.00% 81 0.00 { 7d6d }

Can I get a WTF?
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