Re: Nut flush, ugly river.
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What do you think his range is on the river? besides a jack or a flush? could he valuebet AA-QQ here?
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A loose and aggressive player can't have AA-QQ here; he'd have three-bet preflop and he'd probably have three-bet the flop as well. Beyond flushes, I think the hands you beat that he might make a weak lil' bet with are 66-99 and Tx, with Tx being the heavy part of his range in my opinion. It's also possible that he does this with an ace, hoping his two-pair, top kicker is a winning hand. Finally, he might be betting KQ/Q9/98 -- flopped OESD and chased the whole way, now making a desperation bluff on the river. If he's SUPER-loose you can throw in the inside straight draws like K9, 97, and 87 (he can't have AK because of the preflop action).
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