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Old 11-07-2007, 03:42 PM
TNixon TNixon is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 616
Default Re: HUSNG $50 - Huge overbet on river against 3rd Nuts

Just for giggles, I decided to start throwing some stuff into pokerstove just to see how it came out, and the results surprised me just a little.

If you include every set and K8 2 pair (hands which you have crushed), you still have to throw out half of the possible straights just to be even money.

Of course, a -20% roi fish could *very* easily be in here with 53 or 52, even calling a raise OOP, and if you include every straight/set/2 pair, then you're 65%.

And like HokieGreg said, you could even add a lot of random [censored] like middle pockets, weak kings, and even some 8s, which makes it an easy push.

I'm guessing you lost to A4 though? If I were trying to weight hands here, I'd want to give extra weight specifically to A4, 85, and the flopped sets.
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