Re: New Thread On Sklansky Extrapolation Question
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So, do we have a case here where Y is more likely to be true specifically because less people believe it than the above, even distribution example?
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The point isn't how many people believe it, but what kind of people believe it. The people that believe it are those most likely to be correct. If you were to assume the pattern would follow (which of course you cant assume 100%), you could also assume that if there were people out there that were always correct, 100% of them would believe Y to be true.
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