Re: 25NL: two marginal spots with AK
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you really think the best hand he can have in hand 2 is a J? You don't think he does this with a set?
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Sets are combinatorially irrelevant. There are 9 sets out there total. There are 16 9T hands, 6 AJ hands, 6 KJ hands, 12 QJ hands, 12 JT hands, 12 J9 hands, 16 QT hands, 8 AQ hands, 16 79 hands, and a bunch of flushes. a hand like 77 is almost as likely by itself than all the sets. We should NEVER put people on sets in these situations, they effectively don't exist. A bluff with complete air is more likely.
Folding because there are too many valid jack combinations compared to draw combinations with significant equity is reasonable, and possibly even correct. Worrying about sets is just weak-tight.
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