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Old 11-06-2007, 09:56 AM
matrix matrix is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: UK
Posts: 7,050
Default Re: TPTK facing massive overbet shove on river from massive donk

he has a set 2pair or he luckboxed the straight.

easy fold. Yeah maybe *sometimes* we fold the best hand here but it's OK to get bluffed off the best hand by *awful* players sometimes. There will be a better situation soon where we can get him to call off his stack when we are WA.

his range (which is almost any two) contains such beauties as 67 53 62s A2/3/4/5/9 + sets

realistically we beat AT-AQ and a bluff. This isn't a bluff often enough to make calling +EV in the long run I think. Be happy that he's a moran who lights up like a pig in a wall socket when he makes a hand, so that we can get away easy.

On this river a better player who has TPTK cooked and puts you on a TPTK hand will donk-3bet all-in and then you have a tough decision.
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