Re: My river play bothers me
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many times he simply folds his hand here. Sometimes he calls and wins. (Yes he sees the straight but can he fold anything that beats us?) Sometimes he raises and we have to fold.
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The problem, Bona, as usual, is that we don't want to give him the chance to check behind the relatively large number of hands that he would call a bet weith that we can beat. Add to that the small but non-zero percentage of his folds that will be better hands than ours, and we want to bet. We're about a 3:2 dog to other aces (a little better, actually, since some of the ones we're worried about are aces-up, putting one of the cards on the board), so really we only need him to fold to our bet (rightly or wrongly) 15% of the time to make the 55% threshold.
Edit: Babar, both those links go to the same thread, which is the same thread that Mitke linked. postcount++ on a delay-my-x000th-post account?
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