Re: Likelihood of undefeated Pats
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50% chance would mean the Pats are 90% likely to win each game.
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At this point I don't even think it's that unlikely. They're just that good. The Bills? The Jets? Dolphins? Is it probable that this Pats team loses 1 out of 10 matches against any of these teams? There just isn't that much variance when the skill difference is as big as it is now. Sans the Colts, the Pats have obliterated all other opposition. Obliterated. I think they could be close to 99% against the Dolphins with HFA, and I only give them the remaining 1 out of 100 win in case of freak injuries to Brady, Moss, Samuels and Harrison or some similar combo.
And that's what it comes down to at this point. For the Pats to drop significantly below 90% against ANY team, they need to 1) get seriously hurt, or 2) BB decides to rest players (not going to happen).
OK, that should take care of the jinxing.. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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