[crockpot]

Moss under 1.5 TD -125 (VIP) - Really? Half a season goes by, and suddenly this guy is the best WR in NFL history? Moss needs to project at 1.5 scores this week for -125 to break even, and I think he's comfortably below that.

Manning +0.5 TD over Brady +170 (SB) - Ties win AND I get +170? Where do I sign? If we project Brady to throw a full TD more than Manning, this bet still offers a 10% edge.

Pats to go undefeated +500 (WagerWeb) - Given that you can bet the "No" at -240 on the Strip (or -250 at SB), this seems pretty automatic.

I also still like Brady under 49.5 TD +160 (SB), but that could be because I'm stubborn.

edit: To show you how ludicrous the Manning +0.5 line is, you can arb it with Brady -0.5 for +138 at WSEX.