Re: Odd Craps Situation that Benefits Player - Does it Matter Enough
Well, look at it this way. If your point established via a come bet is not working on a come out roll but the same point established via a don't come roll is working that can create a situation where if you placed a bet of $1 on each you have many rolls where only the don't come with an established point is live (where player has the edge) while the come bet is not.
I guess my question is that if the player rolls where a disadvantage as part of the game is removed for a roll and that can be off set by an exact opposite bet where the equivalent advantage remains, would that not create a potential +EV situation?
Simple scenario. Every roll bet $1 on pass and don't pass or come/don't come. Forget about any odd bets for now
When it is time for a come out roll all of your don't come bets will be live at 1:1 odds for that number vs a 7 while all of your come bets will be off until after a point is made.
Repeat a million times and factor in the expected loss from the double 6 rolls and what are we left with?
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