Re: One More Checkup -- AA otb
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The problem with this range is that there is no way he 3bets those semibluffing hands 100% of the time. I don't know how to accurately discount them, but my gut says that they need at least a 50% discount, possibly much more. Remember villain is a decent hand reader (at least), and it's pretty clear I am showing down. So unless he's spazzing out he should not be 3bet semi bluffing here.
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Yeah, but he's also probably spazzing out with hands like AKo, JJ, TT, small pairs, and gutshots some percentage of the time too. Since he has such low equity when does this, I figure the ~10% of the time he spazzes out with these hands more than covers the times he plays a big draw more passively.
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