Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
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Bet Jamaica has them:
Pleasers (NFL / NCAAF)*NEW*
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Yeah they've got them but two things:
1-keep an eye on the spreads. I saw two +5.5 games(SCar & Memphis)with pleaser odds of -.5. Those were the only two I saw that were off though.
2-they are only paying 5-1 on them. It should be 6.
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Interesting.. yeah the 5:1 is gonna make things difficult. We need 40.9% winners to break even. The 3-teamers at 13:1 need 41.5%. I'll have to look at the data some more tonight, I think there were some small ranges that had a higher % than that, but I don't know whether they were significant.
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there are a few spreads where the 6 pt pleaser has run good enough to win at 5 to 1. However, these are all instances where the spread itself has been significantly off from 50/50. IE, if one thinks there is something to that historical data, just bet those spreads as the edge is larger.
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