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Old 11-02-2007, 12:00 PM
well named well named is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
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Default Re: 10 nl turn semibluff crai

He may be able to fold Jx, but is Jx really a big part of his range after raising the flop and making a pot sized bet on that turn? With his action it really looks like he has a hand that he doesn't mind getting the money in with, so I doubt your raise has too much fold equity. He does not raise much preflop so he can easily be showing up here with AJ, a set, Ax of spades, A5, A6, and other hands. I don't think there's nearly enough hands in his range that fold to your shove getting 2:1 to make your play +EV, and your draw is not that strong. I fold to his turn bet here.

I do like taking a stab at this pot on the flop, but my normal line is to bet a little less on the flop in unraised multi-way pots, both with air and with pairs/draws. A half-pot bet here is in my opinion just as good as a pot-sized bet, and it makes it cheaper when you do get raised.
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