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Old 11-01-2007, 11:14 PM
Webster Webster is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Columbus WI
Posts: 3,649
Default Re: Need Old lines - I have a DVOA/NFL system that

bills - yes - olds system is still going 208-109 ATS on A and B games since 1992. 349-217 on all games.

Look on Wednesdays normally!

This year so-so so far - bad week last week! 7-8 :-(

I was going to post them here but I catch too much flak and disbelief!

brendanb - When I started looking into DVOA I knew there had to be something I could do with those numbers.

A friend of mine combined some Sagarin home field stuff and the Offense and Defense DVOA including DAVE.

I'm not claiming anything YET! but witht he algorithms I'm using when the Balderdash system (new name) is 5.5 points different then the line it's 11-2.

2.5 to 5 different it's 23-16.

WAY WAY not enough to say anything works, I know that! That is why I need past year numbers.

BTW - it is picking Indy as 5.5 difference. Balderdash is saying INDY wins by 1/2 point!

ALso

Minnesota and Jax cover with ease.

It's done pretty well predicting upsets!

I also tried going deeper and tried creating a over/under with zero success!

Bridgejumper since 1992
"C" 141-108
"B" 164-98

Buffalo +1 "B"**
Carolina +4 "C"
Jax +3.5 "B" **

Balderdash 2007 only
"C" 23-16
"A" 11-2

Jax +3.5 "A" **
Minnesota +7 "A"
Indianapolis +5 "A"
Tennessee -4 "C"
Atlanta -3.5 "C"
T.B. -3.5 "C"
Houston +3.5 "C"
Buffalo +1 "C"**
Green Bay +2 "C"
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