Re: 2/4 B&M - turn play with 99 and 4 card flush draw; counting outs?
It's pretty close. Every once in a while you are going to hit and still lose. You can be up against a flush draw that comes in on the river. The 9 could make someone with T8 a straight. The bettor could have just called your pre-flop raise with JJ. AJ could fill on the river.
These are rare events (well, the flush hitting isn't), but you're so close on the odds that it makes the flop call very marginal. It can't be a huge leak, but its probably a tiny loss. Honestly, I probably make the same peel.
As played, I think you have to fold the turn. Someone almost has to have a bigger club.
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Note that I haven't been taking into account rake/jackpot/tip at my 2/4 table other than rounding down my turn count of BB. Could this be considered a bad leak?
Also, for those who advocate folding the flop getting, say, 16:1. Don't you think I could make up 3 BB against 4 opponents, closing the action and being in perfect position for a checkraise trapping the field?
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