[Buzz]

Gazazaza – If your read is correct and one player is a nit, then the nit probably has the same nut straight as you, and perhaps with redraws (which you don’t have). Perhaps he doesn’t raise because, rightly or wrongly, he doesn’t want to lose the fish. Or perhaps the nit doesn’t raise because he has no redraws (and then the fish might be drawing for the board to pair or flush). Or maybe the nit just doesn’t believe you.

It’s impossible to know what the fish holds. But the three of you holding an ace-king two-card combination is not far fetched (even though you do hold two of the aces). Ace-king is one of the more popular two-card combinations, not as popular as ace-deuce, but still very popular. It’s one of my own favorite two-card combinations. (What’s not to like about it?)

Thus if your read is correct, probably the best you can do is split the main pot with one opponent, probably the nit, chopping up the fish in the process, and taking the $60 side pot from the fish.

Maybe both opponents have the nut straight and possibly with redraws (which you don’t have). If so the best you can do is get your own money back and the worst you can do is lose two hundred bucks if the fish sucks out.

If fish has random cards and is running a blatant bluff, you’re ahead. Or if one of them has the same straight and the other has only two pairs and nobody has a flush draw, then you’re slightly ahead.

But it one of them has the same straight and the other merely has either a set or the nut flush draw, you’re way behind.

It comes down to whether the fish is bluffing or betting purely stupidly or not.

The fact that the fish has $60 more than the nit, and you don't have to split that with the nit if you win pushes the scales in the direction of calling. But the fact that you're going to hate the next decision if the board flushes or pairs on the turn pushes the scales in the direction of folding.

Tough decision. Raising seems unwise. There's no rush to get your money in, because nit isn't going away if he holds the same nut straight as you and you'll just lose him if he doesn't. And Fish will be more sucked in if you just call.

But to call or fold...

No one can make the decision but you, because you're the only one who knows the fish.

Tough decision.

Buzz