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Old 10-30-2007, 08:55 PM
cheburashka cheburashka is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 374
Default 25NL: Any way to get away from this?

This is full ring; we just have a few sitters at the moment. No reads, as I've been at the table only 5 hands or so.

UTG ($15 in chips)
MP ($14.35 in chips)
CO ($22.25 in chips)
Hero ($24 in chips)
SB ($27.70 in chips)
BB ($76.60 in chips)

Hero is OTB with Jc Jh

Three folds, Hero raises $1 to $1.25, SB raises $1 to $2.25, Hero calls $1

Flop ($4.75) Jd Qc 9c

SB checks, Hero bets $3.25, SB raises $22.20 to $25.45 and is all-in, Hero???

From what I have seen at 25NL, a good guess at the range that explains the 3-bet preflop plus this check raise could be: AcKc, AQ, TT+, JcTc, and god knows what else. In other words, I gotta think that I'm ahead a pretty big majority of the time here.

I gotta tell ya, this is starting to drive me crazy. I work hard to play tight and aggressive. I value bet good hands, steal blinds and c-bet effectively from position, I repop occasionally when people I catch stealing light, and so forth. I scrimp and struggle and accumulate 40 or 50 BB over a couple of hours, then I stack off 100BB on hands like this. This has happened like 5 times this week.

Sorry to vent; I feel better now. But please tell me if I'm doing something wrong or if I'm just on the wrong end of horrible variance.
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