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Old 10-30-2007, 04:23 PM
phatlat phatlat is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 31
Default Re: 10/20 hu river facing 2x pot bet

EC,

We have to think hard about what his check on 4th tells you.

Once you've arrived at his river bet of 2x pot, I think you can look back at his check on 4th and deduce that he does not have air, 99-AA or A9-AK. In my experience, if he's decided to float the flop with these, he has every reason to double barrel here to really figure out where he stands with you.

Moreover, it is v. unlikely he has A8/A2/A3 here, since he should be putting you on an A himself, in which case he should be both value betting and protecting his top pair against a potential 2 pair draw out.

Tough hand HU. I ultimately agree that you need to call on 5th in this particular instance, but if you had a good line on the villain that helped you deduce his fishy check on 4th, I could see how you would fold in the same circumstance, different hand, here in the future.

At least now you know he re-popped you with 45 PF [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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