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Old 10-30-2007, 10:16 AM
Dale Dough Dale Dough is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,043
Default Re: Would this raise be too thin

I'm not saying he's always laying down QQ, although I definitely think it's not a standard call in his spot. I'm saying this:

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>84 games 0.005 secs 16,800 games/sec

Board: 9s Jd 5h 6d Td
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.000% 50.00% 00.00% 42 0.00 { 6c5c }
Hand 1: 50.000% 50.00% 00.00% 42 0.00 { JJ+, 99, 55, AJs, KdQd, KJs, J9s+, 87s, AJo, KJo, J9o+, 87o }</pre><hr />

(J9+ means J9 and JT)

This is being generous in that he always calls AJ KJ (and has that last hand in the first place) and QQ-AA. He might not raise 87o, but he probably doesn't fire three barrels with KJ, maybe AJ, and likely folds a bunch of one pair hands. So I see no value in betting.

EDIT forgot random suited Aces that got there. So def. not a raise IMO.
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