Re: QJ makes four straight vs probable split
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why don't you 3bet turn and prefere raise the river?
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for the reasons stated in the above post: "I like your play, there is a lot of 2 pair/ set hands in his range which have outs on the turn and pay a raise on the river anyway. "
I realize if I get 3b on the river, I lose the same amount if he has AQ and were to 3-bet the turn and get capped.
I think on average I win more from the hands I am ahead of by waiting for the river to raise.
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like i said, i would play it the same, BUT think about the fact that he is very passive with those stats, i could see him checking the river with two pair after the turn c/r.
Against an tag/lag i would also wait until the river.
The logic behind the raise river idea is, to avoid a paired/flush board. And please dont say: Raise the turn, if the board pairs on the river and he donks ... simply fold.
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