Re: Insane HH from Niagara 10k involving THE Vanessa Rousso (and Shani
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Curtains,
It is a small chunk of your stack, but it is also impossible for it to be +EV so you can never justify it.
Assuming we raise preflop. Postflop some people will have an expectation of greater than -150 others will have one lower and it is very player dependent.
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Hmm I don't think that it's impossible for it to be +EV, but okay very unlikely unless you are huge supergenius at postflop play. Perhaps better than anyone whom has ever existed.
However I suspect that with certain game conditions, a very good player can get away with virtually anything. I might be wrong, and I don't pretend to be that player, so I will never have the problem of playing lots of marginal hands due to overconfidence in my ability. I think that a decent number of people do have this problem though. At least the majority of the time that someone makes a play like this, it will be -EV for them.
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