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Old 10-29-2007, 09:02 PM
TNixon TNixon is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 616
Default Re: Swings in NLCASH

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That is for a player whose standard deviation per 100 hands is about 75PTBB/100.

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Where does this number come from? Is that your personal std. dev, or a guesstimate?

I would be *very* interested in seeing some real player winrates and standard deviations. The data point of exactly one that I have seen so far is 55.04BB/100, but I don't know what the associated winrate is.

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20BI downswings seem to be quite common.

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And what does "quite common" mean here? Just a ballpark would be good, like an average number of 20BI downswings in 10k hands (or 100k or 500k hands or whatever if 10k isn't enough).

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20+ BI downswings will happen to a full time player probably monthly.

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About how many hands does a month full-time represent? Again, ballpark figures are fine.

Inquiring minds want to know!
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