Re: Playing Too Tight??
This is an important point. I don't think the fold is bad. I think it is pretty close. Your pot odds may get reduced if the original raiser caps. You can flop a set and still lose.
I think its a close decision that can be played either way. I like to call, because I prefer to play the close decisions (and some of the non-close ones [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]), because playing is more interesting than folding.
I don't think you're leaving anything significant on the table folding in this situation, though.
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one issue I take with this analysis is that you are ignoring the times you hit a set and still lose. while this happens very infrequently, when it does happen you lose a lot of chips.
in your last paragraph you justify playing this hand in a situation where it is -EV. this is a sign that you are trying too hard to justify playing this hand. I'm not saying it's -EV to play this hand, i'm just saying you don't always have implied odds just because you have a pocket pair.
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