Here villain is 27/21/2 with a river AF of 4 over 273 hands.
So based on villain's stats he seems somewhat solid.
I was just wondering if anybody can find a call on this river, or is a river call complete spew?
If villain is decent at all, he isn't going to be floating the flop with just A high in a RR pot very often. So that leaves pairs K pair type hands, and sets. However, when he doesn't bet the turn, if he does have a strong hand, he's losing out on a lot of value. Thus when he bets the river, it's more likely that it's an underpair to my QQ like JJ, TT turned into a bluff and not a hand that can value bet. I guess some players might float with AQ type hands very often in this spot, but in my mind, most solid players will not do this in this spot.
I don't know if I'm reaching or not. But would you ever call this river, or is a river call complete spew?
Full Tilt Poker, $5/$10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter
Hero (SB): $1,993
BB: $1,000
UTG: $1,047
MP: $2,471.25
CO: $2,661.50
BTN: $2,421
Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $35</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $125</font>, BB folds, CO calls $90
Flop: ($260) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $175</font>, CO calls $175
Turn: ($610) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks
River: ($610) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $420</font>