Re: Cry call on the river?
You are right Carmine!
OP
The turn 3-bet is too much unless you have a read about villain being a very loose and aggressive player.
There is simply too many straight, set and 2 pair combos in an unknowns range.
It also matters than when he has a straight you are drawing dead, whereas when you are ahead he will at least have 5 outs and often as much as 14.
You do realize that whenever you have to call a 3-bet you need 67% eq to raise right?
BTW. On the river you should call. You still beat combo hands like A4dd and two pair hands like 64, 42, 62 and even slowplayed 99-TT. You have simply bloated the pot too big to fold now as there are hands in his range that you beat - even if those hands I quoted are not necessarily played as he did.
BTW, this is another problem with raising the turn. It makes the pot so much bigger that you have to call a lot of rivers.
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