Re: Week 10 Early NCAA Lines
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Sagarin has Navy as 1 pt fav after HFA. ... Predicting it as PK is not crazy.
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Differing opinions are fine, my point is, are you putting 20% of your BR on the game? 10%? 5-7% after big Kelly reduction?
If not, then *you* are the one saying you don't believe your/ their models. It's one or the other by definition, since I know you guys understand Kelly by now.
As for predicting the Open, ND is the biggest public fave walking the earth, ever, even bigger than NYY. You know the line would lean that way, making a prediction on the thread that doesn't incorporate that is silly. Never said it was 'crazy,' just offbase.
This is a free prediction thread, there's no penalty for admitting when you messed one up [rare [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] ]. No one's gonna think less of you or make you pay a fine.
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