Re: these AQo spots really annoy me
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*sigh*
- Calling is clearly wrong, and folding is almost certainly -EV
I assume you think a call is wrong because you won't be able to access where you are at in the hand on the flop, other than even more behind, or is there another reason?
-I do not have to c-bet on the flop
-I'm in position, making it way easier to avoid -EV postflop situations. Conversely, you can exploit the situations when you are likely to be ahead better. You lose less when you're behind and make more when you're ahead.
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I think a call is wrong because it doesn't give us a chance to fold out any limpers. I recognize that he says a three bet won't fold them. Why are we assuming that? If his table image is a typical Kit image it should fold out something, right?
I also think it makes the hand is easier to play postflop if we three bet. Postflop, I think it is easier for us to extract more when we're ahead and easier for us to lose less when we're behind.
That and if folding is -EV, then how can raising, on the button, be wrong? That's another thing I should have said before, that my decision here is very position dependent. I would fold this anywhere but the CO or button.
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