Re: Your action?
If a BB 40/10 calls with 100% of his range on the flop, we have an equity edge around 60% on the turn. As BB don't c/ring often a pair, we win money by betting.
Board: 3h 7h 4h 2s
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.605% 38.51% 01.10% 10471 298.50 { TT-22, AQs-A2s, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T3s+, 95s+, 85s+, 74s+, 64s+, 54s, AQo-A2o, K2o+, Q5o+, J7o+, T7o+, 97o+, 87o }
Hand 1: 60.395% 59.30% 01.10% 16124 298.50 { Ah9d }
With a J on the river if BB bets with 100% of his range, we are a small underdog. So by calling we loose money against BB (of course it's better than folding). So betting the turn+freeshodown (or fold the river to c/r) is better imo.
Board: 3h 7h 4h 2s Jc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.439% 58.67% 00.77% 345 4.50 { TT-22, AQs-A2s, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T3s+, 95s+, 85s+, 74s+, 64s+, 54s, AQo-A2o, K2o+, Q5o+, J7o+, T7o+, 97o+, 87o }
Hand 1: 40.561% 39.80% 00.77% 234 4.50 { Ah9d }
edit: I didn't take into account the fact than BB can have a flush and we can catch an ace on the river, but it's marginal.
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