[curtains]

[ QUOTE ]
Shoving is just -cEV for relatively wide UTG raising range of 55+,AK,AQ,AJs ...


shove called & win = 4390
shove called & lose = 4090
shove fold win = 800

UTG calling range:
AK 8
JJ+ 4 * 6 = 24

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 33.654% 33.45% 00.20% 22911950 138060.00 { TcTd }
Hand 1: 66.346% 66.14% 00.20% 45304090 138060.00 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }

UTG raise range:
55+ 10 * 6 = 60
AK AQ 2 * 8 = 16
AJs 4

BB shove equity:

(32/80) * (.33654 * 4390 - .66346 * 4090) + (48/80) * 800 =
(32/80) * (-1246) + (48/80) * 800 =
.4 * (-1246) + .6 * 800 =
-498 + 480 = -18

[/ QUOTE ]


The raising range you gave was much looser than that!