Re: AA with drawy board
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Agree to disagree, but I believe that we are putting money in here in spots that we likely are very small favorites against most random button hands. There are very few turn and river cards that we can bet or call profitably with just one pair.
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Since he just called the flop, we have to assume he is on a draw. If he had JT of hearts, he would have raised us, so lets asumme he had QJ of hearts; the second worst draw for us on the table. On the flop, we are 60-40 favorites, and hence, we have to bet no matter what. If a 10 or a heart does not hit the turn, we are suddenly 75-25 favorites, and volā, we will get him out if we bet properly (and the villain isn't a donk).
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