Re: local pub parlay cards
Well, that condition obviously matters a lot, because that's what determines if OP should be playing this or not. So just saying "10-teamers have the highest expectation" doesn't really help all that much without elaboration.
I was interested in how good you had to be in order to make this +EV, and like you, I get that it's about 53.7%. 10-teamers become better than 4-teamers at about 52.1%, but your EV is -26% of your bet at that point.
So yeah, if you're able to win at all, you'll do best playing 10-teamers.
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