[pzhon]

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As early on the value of stacks closer reflects their $ approximation, I think it´s fair to use the authors $22,000 figure in that way.

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It can be misleading when you are talking about someone with a high ROI, and when you are discussing the value of being able to enter another tournament. T20,000 now is worth much more than $20,000 to a great player. That's obvious, and not the subject of the discussion.

Matros suggested that T20,000 now is worth about the same as T22,000 later, at the time when the player normally doubles up or busts out. The advantage of a great player comes from winning chips over time. Doubling up now, instead of several levels from now, gives you more time to accumulate chips.

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The true EV of flipping in that spot is 3% of stack due to cost of BI to next tourney when you bust out.

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I have no idea how you got that figure. It disagrees with other calculations. I also don't know which of the several possible meanings of EV you are using.