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Old 10-26-2007, 10:56 AM
KStV KStV is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Shortstack Canyon
Posts: 74
Default Re: FT facing a significant overbet as the CL

I assume Hero checked the flop?

Pot is offering you 85,500:52,000 or about 1.6:1

OESD gives you 8 outs. Maybe give yourself another out on the chance he's got QQ and you hit a K? So with 9 outs twice, we're a 38:9 + 37:9 underdog to hit our hand, or just about 2:1.

So the odds aren't there, but with some kind of read (likes to shove draws, but traps with big hands?) I might find a reason to call a bet that doesn't look like it wants to be called for a shot at almost 40Ms. But it would take convincing; you're not going to love your 16Ms if you whiff.
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