[dlwbppd]

I like a shove instead of a raise PF

I think MP is playing 66 - 1010, calling for set value as jammy dodga said.

If we shove now were most likely flipping.

Assuming we stop and go we'll have ~3k to shove the flop with into a ~12k pot. That will give the villian 5:1 when we shove. I reckon he'll fold if theres 2 over cards to his pair but call if there's only one. So I reckon we're getting paid off if we hit our A or K, or theres two 10,J,Q on the flop. Worst scenario is hitting both our A and K as were very unlikely to get payed off.

I prefer calling PF and shoving the turn, even if we miss and get called we still have ~22% chance to win the hand iirc.