Re: River value bet?
i don't like the turn bet that much. without the fd it would be fine, you can just b/f. but with the fd you lose lot of ev when he raises, regardless of whether you call his raise or fold. he usually has you beat when he calls that flop so betting for value and protection loses importance.
as played, it's a value bet on the river imo. he usually doesn't have a flush and will often pay off.
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