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Old 10-25-2007, 07:14 PM
chezlaw chezlaw is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: corridor of uncertainty
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Default Re: Statistics Question (about invading Iraq)

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You seem to have missed 5) Iraq has no WMDs and the invasion of Iraq kills lots of people and makes the use of WMD by a country that also didn't have WMDs more likely.

For obvious reasons it seems a bad plan to miss that possibility.

chez


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I hadnt thought of that part of the equation. Would it not be possible that showing our military dominance would make countries that have or dont have WMDs less likely to attack us? Is this not also a possibility? Maybe dominating the Iraqi military would "knock some since" into other enemies.


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maybe but not including it in your calculation is a very bad and popular mistake.

The trouble with knocking sense into your enemies is that the sensible response to attacking countries without WMDs on the pretext that they have them is for other threatened countries to get WMDs.

chez
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