[ogdundar]

When stacks are small (100BB and less) the postflop play of 3-bet pots will be a game of high variance and it will seem like it's just luck in the short run, who has TPTK and who has the big draw, or whos got the higher overpair. In this situation a lot of the expected value of the better player comes from adjusting his preflop ranges to the table dynamics and other players. This way, the decisions in the hand are already made once the preflop action is closed (this is true when preflop ranges are tight enough to commit on any flop they connect with and stack sizes allow it). Of course I am not saying every 3-bet pot is just deciding preflop whether or not to go with it, but that is where your feeling of "random roulette" comes from, Alex. The postlop action is very limited, thus you need to select profitable hand ranges preflop to make a profit in the postflop roulette.

Bleh this is such a ramble but I hope I made a point.