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Old 10-24-2007, 04:33 PM
h11 h11 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 119
Default Re: Why does it seem like the cards are not random?

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h11,

Could you explain why many scientific breakthroughs are found by noticing patterns? To say that humans cannot accurately pick out patterns is an intellectual insult. I'm not saying the OP is correct, I'm just curious.

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Most scientific theories don't pan out as correct. Linus Pauling had a very smart theory - Vitamin C will cure the common cold. It so happens that was not true. But it's good that Pauling had that theory because if even one in ten of his theories pan out - we cure a disease. The cost of "spotting" a pattern which is not there is low. The gain from spotting one which is there is great. So we "overspot." We are rich in false positives, and that's not a bad thing.
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