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Old 10-24-2007, 02:24 PM
EMc EMc is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: LETS GO YANKEES!!
Posts: 7,663
Default Re: AKs TPTK, line check

My personal feeling is that a lot of villains range consists of a float/bluff, where he feels as if he can steal the pot from you on a later street. Id assign about 50% of his range to this. Players with those stats do not call twice in position with a good hand especially against a player like us that often with a made hand.

There is a chance he called here with a weaker ace. He mightve called with AQ or AJ (I doubt it) thinking he can either steal the pot later or OP was raising on the lower end of his range (PP, KQ, SC), calling hte CB and waitin for the turn. Ill give this 15% of his range.

Then there is the times he has something like a 97, J9, again calling planning on outplaying OP later in the hand, by applying pressure or by outflopping his opponent. Another 15%.

Then there are times we are beat. A set, maybe T8 (if we include 97 and J9, T8 must be in the range). This here is 20%

More often than not we are ahead. TPTK is a really strong hand, esp on this board against this opponent. Hence I say we c/r AI on the turn, let him bluff you/float you/attempt to VB with a worse hand and get his ass committed behind or folding putting in a decent amount. This will also establish credibility on your turn checks against him as now everytime you CB and then check the turn doesnt mean you missed.
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