Re: Uncomfortable AA spot in the Nightly 100k
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I'd call if the board bottom pairs, but I'll probably just let it go if not. Hard for him to show up with an air-bluff here, people don't like to turn made hands into bluffs ect. ect. I'm kind of tempted to just fold the turn here actually, I probably wouldn't in a donkament tho.
Curtains this deep I think people c/c the flop with pair + oesd alot more than CR, which makes this a fold to a real sized-CR and a solid bet imo.
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yeah this is basically what im talking about, if nothing changes and we're folding river why did we stick in 620 on the turn? The decision must be made there.
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Well yeah, options 1 and 2 change little so if we are here - call. But option three makes the board much scarier. On a simple level, your average donkameter is unlikely to shove onepair on a Q, 10 or 7 river. They'll just check, call a lot. But equally, they'll have a moment of madness with a set or twopair and be like: "oh noes!!"; AND STILL SHOVE.
Ultimately, I think we are unlikely to be good often enough on river three. But on the other two we can call and be shocked at the hands we beat.
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