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Old 10-24-2007, 10:49 AM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 4,515
Default Re: The old notion of passing up marginal +ev spots in tournaments...

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Look up the article on flipping in tournaments by Matt Matros.

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Interesting article, but the author assumes that there is added value in having the big stack, if you add 10% to the stack size acheived with 0.538 probability you are going to skew the answer in favour of "flipping".

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Jerrod Ankenman said, "... everyone realizes that you get to apply your super-duper skill to the second $10,000, too, right?" Do you not think the great player's skill is worth anything in the period between an early double up and a normal double up? This view would be unpopular and difficult to defend.

The smart question is how much more it is worth to double up early rather than to double up later. I believe Matt Matros overestimated the value slightly, but that is much better than assuming that you don't expect to accumulate chips after doubling up.

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But what is your TEV of the double up chip stack?

According to the article author, itīs not $20,000 but $22,000 to reflect a higher TEV and big stack benefits.


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No. Reread the article. Both your interpretation of the units and the explanation are wrong.

Let's try to push the frontiers of research in the right direction.
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