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Old 10-24-2007, 12:45 AM
NYWalker NYWalker is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Arcadia, CA
Posts: 1,350
Default Re: $5/$10 Set River Decision (Hand reading related)

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if you cant get value on this river, then you are the nittiest of nits, or live plays so much different than online that everyone is highly exploitable.

I actually think it is a combo of both tbh

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If he has combo draw, given his style, his stack and my weak bets, he'd c/r the turn very often. Also, the river card completes most draws, he'd lead out for value because he's sure I'd check that river behind if he checks with better hands. Therefore, it's unlikely he has a combo draw here. The reason he stays with us till the river is because he believes he has 6 outs against the board and we offered him the implied odd for his draw.

With this information, IMO, the best way to get value at the river is to underbet rep our hand has no showdown values. He can't call the river but he believes we can't call a shove given our weakline.
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