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Old 10-23-2007, 10:31 PM
Mike Kelley Mike Kelley is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Reraising
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Default Re: How fast do different PFR% converge?

[ QUOTE ]
The SD of someone's PFR% = sqrt((1-p)*p/n)

So it converges pretty fast, especially when a player's PFR is low.

But this assumes that the events are independant when they're not. If someone is raising that little they can easily notice other players' PFR tendancies and adjust. Or maybe he decided to mix things up or recognized a special situation, etc.

[/ QUOTE ]

does p = the pfr%
n = number of hands?

I'm not sure what the special situation was. He was UTG and Raised AJs, I quizzed the strat forum I post in and no one put that in his range.
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