Re: odds question
So far, our issues are how to frame the math before we get to the issue of folding Kings. I don't know how to do the Excel spreadsheet stats thing. I have a minor in statistics, however, Excel had not yet been invented! Yes, I am a geezer. But I am interested in the question - does the # of limpers matter? Since 16 other cards were dealt out, each one of those cards had an equal chance of being a King. It appears that makes the worst case scenario odds closer to 50/50 that one King or more is out against you.
Then we would get to the non-random elements, folding. We know the some people would fold some hands PF if you raise, even if they have a King. That may be tough to quantify.
We may be left with the math on your worst case scenario as the only solid math. From that point forward, it becomes "guesstimates" that are not statistically valid.
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