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Old 10-23-2007, 05:56 PM
Chomp Chomp is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Pretty terrible at poker
Posts: 2,183
Default Re: This happens to me like once a session. Big leak? NL50

Some ranges:

Board: 5s 4d 3s
Hand 0: 42.440% { 6d5d }
Hand 1: 57.560% { 33+, AsKs }

Board: 5s 4d 3s
Hand 0: 45.365% { 6d5d }
Hand 1: 54.635% { 77+, AsKs }

Board: 5s 4d 3s
Hand 0: 36.449% { 6d5d }
Hand 1: 63.551% { 33+, AsKs, A2s, 76s, A2o, 76o }

Board: 5s 4d 3s
Hand 0: 43.047% { 6d5d }
Hand 1: 56.953% { 33+, AsKs, A2s, J9s, 76s, A2o, J9o, 76o }

(Those last 2 are the same except the second one has J9o representing a bluff. Removing the AK from the first 2 ranges makes almost no difference, surprisingly).


So I think it is reasonable to say we rarely have less than 40% equity here if those ranges are ok. So with FE and dead money, I can't imagine pushing is -EV. As for maximising EV, erm, haven't a clue.
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